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01569_Field_110.cap.txt
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1996-03-14
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70 lines
@
Lorenz has thrown
scientific fore-
casting into chaos.
His theories strike
at the heart of the
scientific method,
saying that even
in simple matters
there are things
we cannot ever
know or predict
through careful
observation
#
#
Lorenz realised
the Chaos he had
uncovered in
weather forecasts
existed wherever
experts tried to
read the future:
brokers playing
stock markets;
police exercising
crowd control;
relief workers
treating raging
epidemics; race-
goers playing
the horses
#
British proponents
of Lorenz's theory
had a major boost
in 1987. The BBC
assured viewers
that there was
no hurricane
heading for Britain.
Hours later, a
hurricane blasted
through southern
England, killing
several people and
causing millions of
pounds worth of
damage
#
Scientists are
no nearer solving
the mysteries of
long-range fore-
casting, despite
spending untold
millions of dollars
on sophisticated
equipment. It
seems Lorenz was
right - the only
thing we can know
for sure about
the future is we
do not know what
will happen
@